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发表于 2026-4-20 08:41
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JMA/2604/04-20 00Z
本帖最后由 ygsj24 于 2026-4-20 09:15 编辑
WTPQ50 RJTD 200000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME DEVELOPING LOW FORMER TS 2604 SINLAKU (2604)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 200000UTC 30N 158E
MOVE ENE 20KT
PRES 988HPA
MXWD 050KT
30KT 400NM =
台風第4号(シンラコウ)
2026年04月20日09時45分発表
20日09時の実況
種別 温帯低気圧
大きさ -
強さ -
存在地域 南鳥島近海
中心位置 北緯30度00分 (30.0度)
東経158度00分 (158.0度)
進行方向、速さ 東北東 35 km/h (20 kt)
中心気圧 988 hPa
- WTPQ30 RJTD 200000
- RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
- REASONING NO.47 FOR EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE LOCATED AT 30N 158E
- 1.GENERAL COMMENTS
- SINLAKU (2604) HAS TRANSFORMED INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE. THE
- EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE IS LOCATED AT 30N, 158E. INFORMATION ON THE
- CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY.
- CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
- 50KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
- DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND STRONG
- VWS. HOWEVER, ITS STATE OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION HAS CAUSED IT
- TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON
- THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
- SURFACE WINDS DATA ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE SCATTEROMETERS.
- 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
- THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
- MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
- SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC.
- ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
- OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
- GPM/GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE
- CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
- 3.TRACK FORECAST
- SEE THE MARINE WARNING (WWJP27 RJTD).
- 4.INTENSITY FORECAST
- SEE THE MARINE WARNING (WWJP27 RJTD).
- 5.REMARKS
- THIS WILL BE THE FINAL PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR THE SYSTEM.
- =
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