TCFA - 菲律宾以东93W - 12.0N 125.9E - JMA:TD[W]

327

该系统北部有大面积的比较强的风，应该存在许多冷空气因素。JMA此前发布了35节的区域GW。

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WTPH20 RPMM 040600
SECURITE

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING FOR SHIPPING NR. 02
ISSUED AT 0600UTC, 04 DECEMBER 2025 BY DOST-PAGASA, PHILIPPINES
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004HPA
AT 0600UTC, PSTN 12.4N 130.1E MOV WSW 05KT
MXWD 25KT NEAR CTR

12-HOUR FCST VLD AT 041800UTC
PSTN 11.6N 128.2E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
24-HOUR FCST VLD AT 050600UTC
PSTN 11.2N 126.7E, PRES 1002HPA, MWXD 30KT
36-HOUR FCST VLD AT 051800UTC
PSTN 10.9N 125.7E, PRES 1002HPA, MWXD 30KT
48-HOUR FCST VLD AT 060600UTC
PSTN 10.7N 124.9E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
60-HOUR FCST VLD AT 061800UTC
PSTN 10.6N 123.5E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
72-HOUR FCST VLD AT 070600UTC
PSTN 10.6N 121.9E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
96-HOUR FCST VLD AT 080600UTC
PSTN 10.7N 118.9E, PRES 1002HPA, MWXD 30KT
120-HOUR FCST VLD AT 090600UTC
PSTN 11.2N 115.5E, PRES 1002HPA, MWXD 30KT

ALL VESSELS WITHIN 300 NM OF 12.4N 130.1E, SEND 3-HOURLY WX REPORTS.
NEXT WARNING 041200UTC
WEATHER MANILA=

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 14N 128E SSW 15 KT.

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WTPH20 RPMM 041200

SECURITE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING FOR SHIPPING NR. 03
ISSUED AT 1200UTC, 04 DECEMBER 2025 BY DOST-PAGASA, PHILIPPINES
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004HPA
AT 1200UTC, PSTN 12.1N 129.2E MOV WSW 10KT
MXWD 25KT NEAR CTR

12-HOUR FCST VLD AT 050000UTC
PSTN 11.4N 127.2E, PRES 1002HPA, MWXD 30KT
24-HOUR FCST VLD AT 051200UTC
PSTN 11.1N 126.2E, PRES 1002HPA, MWXD 30KT
36-HOUR FCST VLD AT 060000UTC
PSTN 10.9N 125.2E, PRES 1002HPA, MWXD 30KT
48-HOUR FCST VLD AT 061200UTC
PSTN 10.8N 124.0E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
60-HOUR FCST VLD AT 070000UTC
PSTN 10.8N 122.7E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
72-HOUR FCST VLD AT 071200UTC
PSTN 10.8N 121.2E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
96-HOUR FCST VLD AT 081200UTC
PSTN 10.8N 117.1E, PRES 1002HPA, MWXD 30KT
120-HOUR FCST VLD AT 091200UTC
PSTN 10.4N 113.0E, PRES 1002HPA, MWXD 30KT

ALL VESSELS WITHIN 300 NM OF 12.1N 129.2E, SEND 3-HOURLY WX REPORTS.
NEXT WARNING 041800UTC
WEATHER MANILA=

Ragasa

WTPH20 RPMM 041800
SECURITE  
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING FOR SHIPPING NR. 04
ISSUED AT 1800UTC, 04 DECEMBER 2025 BY DOST-PAGASA, PHILIPPINES  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION  1004HPA  
AT 1800UTC, PSTN 11.8N 127.9E MOV WSW 10KT  
MXWD 25KT NEAR CTR  
12-HOUR FCST VLD AT 050600UTC
PSTN 11.3N 126.7E, PRES 1002HPA, MWXD 30KT
24-HOUR FCST VLD AT 051800UTC
PSTN 11.1N 126.0E, PRES 1002HPA, MWXD 30KT
36-HOUR FCST VLD AT 060600UTC
PSTN 10.9N 125.1E, PRES 1002HPA, MWXD 30KT
48-HOUR FCST VLD AT 061800UTC
PSTN 10.8N 123.6E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
60-HOUR FCST VLD AT 070600UTC
PSTN 10.7N 122.0E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
72-HOUR FCST VLD AT 071800UTC
PSTN 10.7N 120.4E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
96-HOUR FCST VLD AT 081800UTC
PSTN 10.5N 115.7E, PRES 1002HPA, MWXD 30KT
120-HOUR FCST VLD AT 091800UTC
PSTN 10.2N 112.2E, PRES 1002HPA, MWXD 30KT
ALL VESSELS WITHIN 300 NM OF 11.8N 127.9E, SEND 3-HOURLY WX REPORTS.
NEXT WARNING 050000UTC
WEATHER MANILA=

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WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA
AT 12.4N 127.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING SW 08 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

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WTPH20 RPMM 050000
SECURITE

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING FOR SHIPPING NR. 05
ISSUED AT 0000UTC, 05 DECEMBER 2025 BY DOST-PAGASA, PHILIPPINES
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004HPA
AT 0000UTC, PSTN 11.6N 127.5E MOV WSW 10KT
MXWD 25KT NEAR CTR

12-HOUR FCST VLD AT 051200UTC
PSTN 11.3N 126.3E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
24-HOUR FCST VLD AT 060000UTC
PSTN 11.1N 125.5E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
36-HOUR FCST VLD AT 061200UTC
PSTN 11.0N 124.7E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
48-HOUR FCST VLD AT 070000UTC
PSTN 10.8N 123.2E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
60-HOUR FCST VLD AT 071200UTC
PSTN 10.7N 120.9E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
72-HOUR FCST VLD AT 080000UTC
PSTN 10.7N 118.9E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
96-HOUR FCST VLD AT 090000UTC
PSTN 10.4N 115.2E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
120-HOUR FCST VLD AT 100000UTC
PSTN 10.0N 111.5E, PRES 1002HPA, MWXD 30KT

ALL VESSELS WITHIN 300 NM OF 11.6N 127.5E, SEND 3-HOURLY WX REPORTS.
NEXT WARNING 050600UTC
WEATHER MANILA=

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ABPW10 PGTW 050600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/050600Z-060600ZDEC2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050151ZDEC2025//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
11.4N 127.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 127.2E, APPROXIMATELY 226 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LEGAZPI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
(MSI) DEPICTS A POORLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH
WEAK CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS
REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (15 KNOTS OR LESS), GOOD UPPER-LEVEL POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND
VERY WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR
AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93W WILL SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE AS IT TRACKS
TOWARD THE CENTRAL PHILIPPINES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO
BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 05DEC25 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (SIX) WAS LOCATED NEAR
13.9S 149.7W, APPROXIMATELY 216 NM NORTH OF PAPEETE, TAHITI, AND HAD
TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS.
SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 050300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN

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WTPH20 RPMM 050600

SECURITE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING FOR SHIPPING NR. 06
ISSUED AT 0600UTC, 05 DECEMBER 2025 BY DOST-PAGASA, PHILIPPINES
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004HPA
AT 0600UTC, PSTN 11.7N 127.3E MOV W SLOWLY
MXWD 25KT NEAR CTR

12-HOUR FCST VLD AT 051800UTC
PSTN 11.5N 126.5E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
24-HOUR FCST VLD AT 060600UTC
PSTN 11.4N 125.8E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
36-HOUR FCST VLD AT 061800UTC
PSTN 11.3N 124.6E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
48-HOUR FCST VLD AT 070600UTC
PSTN 11.1N 122.5E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
60-HOUR FCST VLD AT 071800UTC
PSTN 11.0N 120.7E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
72-HOUR FCST VLD AT 080600UTC
PSTN 10.9N 118.4E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
96-HOUR FCST VLD AT 090600UTC
PSTN 10.3N 113.1E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
120-HOUR FCST VLD AT 100600UTC
PSTN 10.0N 110.1E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT

ALL VESSELS WITHIN 300 NM OF 11.7N 127.3E, SEND 3-HOURLY WX REPORTS.
NEXT WARNING 051200UTC
WEATHER MANILA=

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WTPH20 RPMM 051200
SECURITE

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING FOR SHIPPING NR. 07
ISSUED AT 1200UTC, 05 DECEMBER 2025 BY DOST-PAGASA, PHILIPPINES
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004HPA
AT 1200UTC, PSTN 11.7N 126.9E MOV W SLOWLY
MXWD 25KT NEAR CTR

12-HOUR FCST VLD AT 060000UTC
PSTN 11.6N 126.0E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
24-HOUR FCST VLD AT 061200UTC
PSTN 11.5N 125.2E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
36-HOUR FCST VLD AT 070000UTC
PSTN 11.3N 123.8E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
48-HOUR FCST VLD AT 071200UTC
PSTN 11.0N 121.7E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
60-HOUR FCST VLD AT 080000UTC
PSTN 10.8N 119.1E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
72-HOUR FCST VLD AT 081200UTC
PSTN 10.5N 116.7E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
96-HOUR FCST VLD AT 091200UTC
PSTN 09.9N 112.1E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT
120-HOUR FCST VLD AT 101200UTC
PSTN 09.7N 108.8E, PRES 1004HPA, MWXD 25KT

ALL VESSELS WITHIN 300 NM OF 11.7N 126.9E, SEND 3-HOURLY WX REPORTS.
NEXT WARNING 051800UTC
WEATHER MANILA=